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Chicago Actuarial Association 2023 Workshop Descriptions

Chicago Actuarial Association 2023 Workshop Descriptions
Session 1, 1:15 p.m. – 2:15 p.m.
1-A Project Management 101 for Actuaries
Jackie Desmond, FSA
Discover the “101” basics of project management including developing project plans, monitoring progress relative to timelines, facilitating meetings, communicating with the project team and stakeholders, and effective tools to support project management. There will be a focus on the type of technical work actuaries are often asked to manage, such as actuarial modeling projects
Jackie Desmond is a Senior Manager at the US Life Practice of Oliver Wyman Actuarial and is located in Chicago, Illinois. As an actuarial consultant for the past 10 years, her main area of focus is large-scale project execution, holding many internal and client-facing project management roles to help clients in the life and annuity industry achieve their objectives. She has served as a project manager for international insurers and reinsurers for a variety of projects, including onboarding large blocks of acquired business, sell-side appraisals, and implementing new financial reporting standards.

1-B Race, Actuarial Science, and Acting in the Public Interest
Jay Jaffe, FSA, MAAA
The session will discuss how race and actuarial science have intersected over the past 125 years. It will then explore how “acting in the public interest” should be considered by all actuaries. The session should qualify for some of the credits needed to meet for both the professionalism and bias CE topics.
Jay Jaffe is President of Actuarial Enterprises, Ltd. His firm provides actuarial and marketing consulting services to insurance companies, banks, and insurance agencies.
Mr. Jaffe received his undergraduate degree from Brown University in 1962 and a M.S. in 1964 from the Sloan School of Management at MIT. He became a Fellow in the Society of Actuaries and a Member in the American Academy of Actuaries in 1969. He has served in leadership positions in several actuarial organizations including as a SOA Vice President.
Jay has been a frequent speaker at actuarial meetings and numerous insurance and marketing conferences throughout North American, Europe, and Australia. He has authored articles for several actuarial and insurance related publications.
In the past few years, Jay has made several presentations to actuarial organizations pertaining to professionalism — particularly as it applies to the actuarial profession. As he began to learn more about the history of the actuarial profession, he recognized the importance for actuaries to learn more about the history of the profession because it will make us better prepared to provide better actuarial services to our principals and the public.
Jay works and resides in Chicago, Illinois.

1-C Society of Actuaries Health Research Update
Achilles Natsis, FSA, MAAA
Yi-Ling Lin, FSA, MAAA, FCA
The Society of Actuaries launched its Health Care Cost Trends (HCCT) Strategic Research Program in 2020, coinciding with the 10 year anniversary of the Affordable Care Act and the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic. This program was designed to
provide relevant industry research to inform the profession on the latest trends impacting healthcare costs. This session will consist of an introduction to how health research is done at the SOA and will feature two recently released research reports focusing on Social Determinants of Health and Long Term Effects of COVID-19.
Achilles is a Health Research Actuary on Staff at the Society of Actuaries Research Institute and has been with the SOA for 5 years. Prior to the SOA, Achilles worked as a Plan Actuary for a Medicaid Managed Care Organization. His other experience includes work in Commercial Health Care products as well as in Group Life and Disability insurance.
Yi-Ling is a healthcare actuary and financial strategist. She is a pioneer in the development of sophisticated analytics to help organizations navigate the complexities of the healthcare landscape. She heads up The Terry Group’s analytics, risk management and litigation consulting in the health area. Yi-Ling leads a team of actuaries performing a wide variety of services from strategy and planning to pricing to model development. Prior to joining The Terry Group, Yi-Ling was a vice president at Aon Hewitt where she was the lead healthcare actuary for clients ranging from jumbo to mid-market. Yi-Ling holds a degree in Mathematical Methods in the Social Sciences from Northwestern University.

1-D Retirement in a Changing America
Daniel E. Winslow, CPA
How is retirement changing in light of the difficult 2022, Social Security financial challenges and changes in birth rates and mortality in USA and many countries? How are different segments of USA retirees doing? How is the investment world changing?
Daniel E. Winslow is a Fee Based Financial Planner
• Founder Winslow Financial LLC 2005
• Certified Public Accountant since 2007
• Trustmark Insurance Company, 1987 to 2005 Vice President and Actuary from 1992
• Northwestern University Kellogg Executive Development Program
• Northwestern University, B. A., Economics 1984
• Fellow of the Society of Actuaries, 1989 to April 2022, Resigned April 2022
• Continuing Education (Florida and Illinois Ins Agent)
• 401(k) and Chicago Actuarial Association Seminars, Network of experts
• Continuous research in world events, investments, and tax law

2A Innovative Retirement Research from the Society of Actuaries
Anna M. Rappaport, FSA, MAAA
The Society of Actuaries Aging and Retirement Strategic Research program focuses on a variety of stakeholders: individuals, benefit plan sponsors and administrators, financial service companies and society at large. The program partners with other SOA strategic research programs and it also partners with outside organizations. It builds on 25 years of work from the Committee on Post Retirement Needs and Risks and many of its projects have a multi-disciplinary focus. The presentation will highlight areas of research and consumer education, describe what the SOA is doing and present some key findings from the projects. Some of the topics to be covered include:
Using conjoint analysis to understand what employees want in retirement benefits
Public perceptions and actions with regard to retirement planning
A focus on late-in-life decisions
Observations on the initial impact of COVID on retirement
A focus on the future
Diversity, equity and inclusion and its link to retirement security
Climate change and retirement security
Anna M. Rappaport, F.S.A., M.A.A.A. is a nationally and internationally recognized expert on the impact of change on retirement systems and workforce issues. She is a past-President of the Society of Actuaries, was the first chair of the Aging and Retirement Strategic Research Program Committee and chairs its Committee on Post-Retirement Needs and Risks. She has been very active in the planning for Aging and Retirement sponsored consumer research and information, and in project oversight groups for many of the SOA research projects. She is the author of a series of Summary reports bringing together much of the post-retirement risk research from the last twenty-five years. She is a phased retiree and formed her own consulting firm after retiring from Mercer at the end of 2004. She has won many awards including the SOA Lifetime Volunteer Award in 2001. She has an MBA from the University of Chicago.

2-B Actuarial Innovation and Technology Research: Bias in AI models and in Facial Recognition Models – Causes, Consequences and Possible Remedies
Lisa Schilling, FSA, MAAA, EA, FCA
David Schraub, FSA, CERA, MAAA
Leveraging the research done by PWC Avoiding Unfair Bias in Insurance Applications of AI Models | SOA and by Victoria Zhang Data Challenges in Building a Facial Recognition Model and How to Mitigate Them | SOA, as well as the expert panel discussion captured Validating Algorithmic Underwriting Models – Expert Panel Report | SOA this session will discuss the origin of the bias that can creep into models, the consequences and the possible remedies. At every stage of the model build is a need for being purposely vigilant as unintentional consequence can have devastating consequence.
David Schraub is Senior Practice Research Actuary, responsible for the Actuarial Innovation and Technology strategic research program. In addition, he supports the InsurTech initiative which goal is to both showcase the actuarial profession to the InsurTech ecosystem and to educate actuaries about InsurTech. David also provides support to risk, technology and innovation oriented sections. Prior to joining the SOA, David worked for life insurance companies and consulting companies in various risk positions, focusing on Solvency II, NAIC ORSA and risk reporting in general. David is a Fellow of the Society of Actuaries, a Chartered Enterprise Risk Analyst of the Society of Actuaries, an Actuaire Qualifie of the Institut des Actuaires (France) and a Member of the American Academy of Actuaries. He graduated from the École Nationale de la Statistique et de l’Administration Économique, one of the French Grandes Ecoles focused on economics, statistics and actuarial sciences.
In the role of Senior Research Actuary at the Society of Actuaries Research Institute, Lisa Schilling manages research focused on diversity, equity & inclusion aspects of the products and services with which actuaries work in the insurance, retirement and financial industries. She also manages the annual Student Research Case Study Challenge. She brings more than 35 years of experience to this role, having previously served as a retirement research actuary, chief actuary for a large pension fund and a retirement actuarial consultant at a large consulting firm.

2-C U.S. Population Mortality Observations – Updated with 2021 Experience
Pete Miller, ASA, MAAA
In January, the SOA released the U.S. Population Mortality Observations report, updated with 2021 experience. In addition to overall experience, the top 10 causes of death were covered, including COVID-19, as well as a section on opioid deaths. Mortality was analyzed over time (1999-2021), by gender and by income level. This session will cover the highlights of the report and discuss the methodology used in the analysis.
Pete Miller, ASA, MAAA, is an Experience Study Actuary with the Society of Actuaries. He manages the SOA’s Individual Life Experience studies and previously for disability and long-term care studies. Prior to joining the SOA in August, 2015, Pete worked for PolySystems for nearly 14 years, where he primarily supported PolySystems’ experience study system, Measure. He also has a deep background in life insurance and annuity valuation from his previous employment at two insurance companies.
2-D Moving into the C-Suite
Sally Ezra
Are you looking to work well with leadership, or make it into the C-suite? If so, this session is for you! A lively discussion about the importance of things beyond the technical including communication, leadership, strategic focus, understanding business, decision making, and beyond.
Sally Ezra, Partner, Ezra Penland, has been speaking with Actuaries almost daily for over 25 years, and thoroughly enjoys all aspects of her work, especially the strong, deep, and long-lasting relationships she has built with Actuaries and the employers of Actuaries, which are often one in the same. These candidates and clients are the backbone of Ezra Penland Actuarial Recruitment and have allowed the company to become a preeminent actuarial and data analytics recruitment firm. In her time in the industry, Sally has gained knowledge and insight that allow her to find creative solutions to challenging job searches that provide the best possible fit for the company and the candidate. In addition to Actuarial placements, she excels at finding placement at non-traditional companies ranging from data, enterprise risk management, and catastrophe analytics firms, to hospitals, start-ups, fintech, and more. She does practical work to expand the career options within the Actuarial field, and also does committee and ad-hoc project work for various Actuarial Societies and Universities. Ezra Penland provides sponsorship of a variety of Actuarial events and causes, and provides a twice a year scholarship via the LinkedIn group, The Entry-Level Actuary. Sally attends numerous Actuarial meeting and symposiums annually and also participates as a speaker, sponsor, and supporter in a wide variety of ways of the Actuarial profession.
Both companies and candidates alike value her commitment, resourcefulness, her personal attention, and her high level of professional ethics.

2-E (Valuation Topic)
Terry Long, FSA, MAAA
(More information to follow.)

3-A U. S. Healthcare System—Reality vs. Reform
Kevin Wolf, FSA
In March 2023, Health Watch—Society of Actuaries’ health section’s newsletter—published the article U.S. Health Care System: Reality vs. Reform (link is to the article) by Kevin Wolf. The article was a review of three graphic medicine books (Health & Wealth, Health Care Reform, and Field Guide to the U.S. Economy) going backward in time from our current healthcare system, to the founding of the Affordable Care Act, to the late 1990s/early 2000s in comic book, graphic novel and editorial cartoons with charts/graphs forms, respectively. This workshop will expand on that article, including provide background about graphic medicine, healthcare information in a probably-new-to-you medium, and much more.
Kevin Wolf, FSA, is retired from his sole-practice firm (Kevin Wolf & Associates, LLC) and currently is the book review editor at www.graphicmedicine.org.

3-B Top Existing and Emerging Technologies and their Impact on Actuarial Science
David Schraub, FSA, CERA, MAAA
Henry Chen, FSA, FCIA, MAAA
Leveraging the research done by Deloitte Emerging Technologies and their Impact on Actuarial Science | SOA, by LIMRA Top Actuarial Technologies of 2019 | SOA (refresh study pending completion), and by expert panel discussions captured here Actuarial Technology, A Roundtable Discussion on Current Issues – March 2022 Update | SOA and Actuarial Technology Issues – A Roundtable Discussion – August 2022 Update | SOA, this session will describe the technologies currently changing the actuarial function, data visualization, Predictive Modeling, cloud computing and collaborative tools, and the technologies coming down the pike, BI tools and report generator, collaborative tools, process and task mining and much more. We will explore what this means for the actuarial function, the type of skills actuaries needs and how to recruit and interest new talents in this environment.
Henry Chen is an actuarial consulting manager in EY’s Insurance and Actuarial Advisory Services organization and based in the firm’s Chicago office. He has over 10 years of experience in the insurance industry, both in consulting and corporate roles. Henry specializes in actuarial transformation, actuarial technology and innovation, modeling and accounting change. Henry has led and assisted with multiple large-scale actuarial transformation programs for different life and annuity insurers in the united states. Henry is a frequent speaker at SOA events and an active volunteer in various leadership roles at the SOA, including Technology section council, Chair of the Actuarial Innovation and Technology Research Committee, and currently serve as the vice-chair of the Entrepreneurial & Innovation (E&I) section . Henry is a Fellow of the Society of Actuaries (FSA), Fellow of the Canadian Institute of Actuaries (FCIA). and member of the American Academy of Actuaries (MAAA). Henry earned a Bachelor’s degree in Mathematics, majoring in Actuarial Science, Financial Analysis and Risk Management, and Statistics from the University of Waterloo in Canada.
David Schraub is Senior Practice Research Actuary, responsible for the Actuarial Innovation and Technology strategic research program. In addition, he supports the InsurTech initiative which goal is to both showcase the actuarial profession to the InsurTech ecosystem and to educate actuaries about InsurTech. David also provides support to risk, technology and innovation oriented sections. Prior to joining the SOA, David worked for life insurance companies and consulting companies in various risk positions, focusing on Solvency II, NAIC ORSA and risk reporting in general. David is a Fellow of the Society of Actuaries, a Chartered Enterprise Risk Analyst of the Society of Actuaries, an Actuaire Qualifie of the Institut des Actuaires (France) and a Member of the American Academy of Actuaries. He graduated from the École Nationale de la Statistique et de l’Administration Économique, one of the French Grandes Ecoles focused on economics, statistics and actuarial sciences.

3-C Actuarial Careers
Margaret Resce Milkint
DEI&B Forum—What’s New & What’s Next in the Actuarial Insurance Ecosystem?
Diversity, Equity, Inclusion & Belonging is an evolving journey of learning and transformation. In this interactive session we will:
Explore the current issues & trends in DEI &B specifically in insurance and the role of thActuary in STEM initiatives and branding.
Discover the Ecosystem in DEI&B and ways to engage.
Participate in Small Group Micro-Discussions to share best practices, lessons learned & actionable steps to advance on the journey.
Create a DEI dashboard of modern ideas and practical next steps
Margaret Resce Milkint is a talent strategist, a DEI champion, and an evangelist for talent innovation, transformation, and excellence. Margaret’s 35-year executive search career has focused on insurance and healthcare in the C-suite (notably CEO, COO, CFO, Chief Actuary, CIO, CRO, Chief Medical Officers/Physician Executives) and in the boardroom on Director searches. She offers depth in the property and casualty, life, health, and reinsurance sectors, including insurtech. She has successfully conducted searches in disciplines such as actuarial, analytics, underwriting, claims, operations, risk, finance, investment, legal, technology, sales/distribution and marketing.
Margaret serves as a Board Advisor to the Society of Actuaries Board of Directors (appointed, volunteer, non-voting).
Margaret is Immediate Past Chair and Trustee for The Actuarial Foundation. She is a Board Member for the Museum of Broadcast Communications and for the Executive Sisterhood, an organization promoting female leadership in businesses.
Margaret is also a member of the advisory council of UpspiralLeadership™, a custom leadership Additionally, she serves as an Advisory Council Member for the Women’s Business Collaborative and holds membership in the Chicago Finance Exchange (CFE) and the National Association of Corporate Directors (NACD). Margaret is a champion for diversity, equity and inclusion (DEI) in the insurance industry and has been action-focused in her efforts. She served as the North America Co-Champion for Dive In, the global festival for DEI in insurance, growing the reach of the event since 2015. She co-founded the Women’s Insurance Networking Group, a platform for networking and career development among female and enlightened male insurance professionals.
Margaret is the current U.S. Chair of ISC Group, a global business community for women operating in or involved with insurance. She chairs the Women in Insurance Initiative of Million Women Mentors/STEMconnector and is the recipient of their Champion of Industry Award.
Margaret was honored to receive a 2020 President’s Award from the Society of Actuaries. She was also named to the Elite Women 2022 list by Insurance Business America (IBA).

3-D LDTI: Done with Implementation–What Next?
Sean Granley, ASA, ACIA
Join for a lively and in-depth discussion on the lessons learned from, and future implications of, LDTI implementation. Topics to be covered include:
Recap LDTI transition impact for public companies
Discuss the most important “Day 2” items, touching on data, automation, reporting, and KPI redesign
Reflect on the lessons learned from LDTI implication at public companies
Potential impacts on reinsurance, M&A, and pricing
Sean Granley is a Consultant with the Actuarial Practice of Oliver Wyman and is based in Chicago. He has been providing actuarial consulting services to a variety of insurance organizations, and specifically relating to LDTI for a wide range of products, including LDTI implementation and reporting. Prior to joining Oliver Wyman, Sean provided actuarial consulting services to employer-sponsored pension and post-retirement medical plans in Canada and the US at Mercer, a multinational consulting firm.

3-E Mortality Patterns at Advanced Ages
Dr. Natalia S. Gavrilova, Ph.D.
Dr. Leonid A. Gavrilov
Session outlines results and conclusions for a new project “Mortality of 1898-1902 Birth Cohort” sponsored by the Society of Actuaries. Project describes mortality after age 85 years by gender and geography based on data from the Social Security Administration Death Master File. Effects of errors in age reporting on late-life mortality are also presented. Project report is now available at https://www.soa.org/research-reports/2018/birth-cohort/. Mortality modeling, analyses of late-life mortality trajectories and historical changes of mortality at extreme ages are discussed. New findings on the gompertzialization of the late-life mortality presented at the 2023 Living to 100 Symposium will also be presented.
Dr. Natalia S. Gavrilova, Ph.D., is an expert in demographic methods, biomarkers of aging and early-life effects on longevity. She is a fellow of the Gerontological Society of America. She received her Ph.D. in anthropology and population science at the Moscow State University in Russia and her master degree in computer science at the University of Chicago. Her research projects were funded by national and international funding agencies, including the International Science Foundation, the European Union, Society of Actuaries and the National Institute on Aging. She was a Principle Investigator of NIH-funded project “Biodemography of Old-Age Mortality” and project “Mortality Analysis of 1898-1902 Birth Cohort” supported by the Society of Actuaries. She is an Editorial Board Member for international journal “Demografie” and grant reviewer for the National Institute on Aging and the Maurice Falk Institute for Economic Research in Israel. Dr. Natalia Gavrilova is currently working at NORC at the University of Chicago. She is a frequent speaker at the Society of Actuaries Living to 100 symposia and other actuarial meetings. Read more at: http://longevity-science.org/CV-gavrilova.htm
Dr. Leonid A. Gavrilov is an expert in biodemographic studies of human aging, mortality and longevity. Dr. Gavrilov has over 30 years of professional experience in this area of research and published more than 100 scientific papers on the related topics in collaboration with Dr. Natalia S. Gavrilova. Their book ‘The Biology of Life Span: A Quantitative approach’ is cited as a recommended reference by Encyclopedia Britannica.
Dr. Gavrilov was the Principal Investigator of several award-winning research projects, funded by the Society of Actuaries, National Institute on Aging, European Union (INTAS program) and the U.S. Civilian Research and Development Foundation (CRDF). He was a Principal Investigator of the NIA-funded research project “Biodemography of Exceptional Longevity in the United States” and Co-Investigator on the NIA-funded project on late-life mortality. He is a regular invited speaker at the Annual meetings of the Chicago Actuarial Association and international meetings “Living to 100” organized by the Society of Actuaries. Dr. Gavrilov is an Editorial Board Member of the scientific peer-reviewed journals “Journals of Gerontology – Biological Sciences,” “Gerontology” and “Journal of Demographic Economics”. Dr. Gavrilov is currently working at NORC at the University of Chicago. Leonid Gavrilov is a fellow of the Gerontological Society of America. Read more at: http://longevity-science.org/CV-gavrilov.htm

Commercial Health Pricing

Jeremy Kush, ASA, CERA, MAAA

The pricing environment in the commercial health market has been in flux for several years and doesn’t look to be slowing down anytime soon. Uncertainty breeds excitement, but it also creates instability in pricing. This session will discuss various elements of the current environment for health pricing in the commercial market, with a focus on the Affordable Care Act. All levels of expertise are welcome. This session will cover some basics of the Affordable Care Act, recent pricing trends, and current considerations when pricing in the commercial health market.

Jeremy joined the Chicago-Milwaukee Health practice in 2010. Prior to joining Milliman, Jeremy worked in the strategic development area of Assurant Health. He currently manages multiple teams, focusing his efforts on helping clients navigate the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (ACA). Jeremy performs financial valuation, pricing, product development, and strategic risk management activities for a number of commercial healthcare companies. He helps a variety of clients, including insurance companies, provider-owned health plans, employers, and administrators.

Jeremy is an Associate of the Society of Actuaries, a Chartered Enterprise Risk Analyst, and a Member of the American Academy of Actuaries. He received a BBA in Actuarial Science at the University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee.

Navigating the Insurance Career Path: Strategies for Success

Alicia Morris

Navigating the career journey can be a challenge. From developing soft skills, to cultivating leadership potential and establishing your personal network, young professionals must navigate a number of hurdles. In addition, today’s employees face a number of hot trends and shifts that will have a significant impact on the industry’s professional landscape.

How can young professionals prepare for the ever-changing job market? What are the hot careers within the actuarial industry? What are the “most wanted” skills and attributes employers are looking for? How can young professionals further develop their career? As you move forward in your insurance career, taking the time to explore the answers to these pressing questions will become integral to your advancement.

Learning Objectives:

  1. Identify areas of high demand and hot trends within the insurance profession.
  2. Gain insights into the top skills employers are looking for, including soft skills and innovative thinking.
  3. Develop best practices and strategies for managing one’s career, including networking, development and personal branding.

Alicia Morris is Assistant Vice President for The Jacobson Group’s health services team. In this role, Alicia is responsible for creating and maintaining relationships with health clients. She provides insurance organizations access to the temporary staffing and subject matter experts solutions they need to effectively manage workload fluctuations, special projects and other short-term needs.

Alicia joined Jacobson in 2014 as a National Territory Manager. Prior to joining Jacobson, Alicia held Sales Executive and Associate roles with City Wide Maintenance. She received a bachelor’s degree from the University of Central Missouri. Alicia is based out of the firm’s global headquarters in Chicago

Workshop Presentation

Modern Deterministic Scenarios

Mark Alberts, FSA, MAAA

The Financial Reporting Section, SIC section, Modeling Section and the CLIR sponsored research, published in 2017, to develop deterministic scenario sets reflective of the current life insurance industry environment. In this session the researcher will summarize the research and compare and contrast the resulting scenario sets to other sets that are commonly used in asset adequacy testing such as the New York 7 scenarios.

Mark Alberts is an independent consulting actuary whose clients include corporate and regulatory clients in the life insurance, annuity and supplemental health insurance spaces. Prior to starting his own firm, he was chief actuary for a mid-sized life insurance company. Mark is an active participant in SOA research, both as a volunteer and a researcher.

Workshop Presentation

SOA Health Update: Research and Meetings and Section Activities, Oh My

Rebecca Owen, FSA, FCA, MAAA

This session will bring members up to date on health focused work at the Society:
Health Section – Timely AND Relevant – Strategic Initiatives, Subgroups, Webcasts and Seminars.
2017 Health Meeting – Some Sizzle in Florida
Health Research A Survey of Projects Recently Completed or in Progress.–
Provider Payment, Medicaid Margins, Risk Adjustment Tools, Opioid Use, and MORE
Case Study Competitions – This year it is an island!

Society of Actuaries July 2014-Present – Health Research Actuary
Rebecca is responsible for performing and coordinating research on health topics such as Public Health, Antibiotic Resistance, Specialty Pharmacy, the ACA risk pool, the impact to population health and health costs of intervention and management programs, alternate payment methodology methods, climate change and predictive health scoring methods. Reviews and edits research performed by contractors and volunteers. Represents the SOA with other research and public health organizations. Is active in the Health Section Council and several of the special interest subgroups such as Social Insurance and Public Finance, Medicaid, Medicare, Behavioral Finance, Modeling, Futurism and Forecasting.

Mortality Patterns at Advanced Ages

Dr. Natalia S. Gavrilova, Ph. D.
Dr. Leonid Gavrilov

Session outlines methodological approaches to mortality analysis after age 85 years and describes methods of mortality estimates at advanced ages. Mortality analysis is illustrated using U.S.data (Social Security Administration Death Master File) and International data from the Human Mortality Database as well as the International Database on Longevity. Mortality modeling, approaches to hazard rate estimation, and analyses of late-life mortality trajectories are presented. Mortality improvement at advanced ages also will be discussed.

Dr. Natalia S. Gavrilova, Ph.D., is an expert in demographic methods, biomarkers of aging and health and early-life effects on longevity and a fellow of the Gerontological Society of America. She received her Ph.D. in anthropology and population science at the Moscow State University in Russia and her master degree in computer science at the University of Chicago. Her research projects were funded by international funding agencies, including the International Science Foundation, the European Union, and the National Institute on Aging (USA). She was a Co-Investigator of NIH-funded projects “Biodemography of Exceptional Longevity in the United States” and “Mortality in Central Asia.” She is an Editorial Board Member for international journal “Demografie” and grant reviewer for the National Institute on Aging and the Maurice Falk Institute for Economic Research in Israel. Dr. Natalia Gavrilova is currently working at the University of Chicago and the Center on Economics and Demography of Aging, NORC at the University of Chicago. She is a frequent speaker at the Society of Actuaries Living to 100 symposia and other actuarial meetings. Read more at:
http://longevity-science.org/CV-gavrilova.htm

Dr. Leonid A. Gavrilov is an expert in biodemographic studies of human aging, mortality and longevity and a fellow of Gerontological Society of America. Dr. Gavrilov has over 20 years of professional experience in this area of research and published more than 80 scientific papers on related topics in collaboration with Dr. Natalia S. Gavrilova. Their book ‘The Biology of Life Span: A Quantitative approach’ is cited as a recommended reference by Encyclopedia Britannica.
Dr. Gavrilov was a Principal Investigator of several award-winning research projects, funded by the Society of Actuaries, National Institute on Aging, European Union (INTAS program) and the U.S. Civilian Research and Development Foundation (CRDF). He was a Principal Investigator of the NIA-funded research project “Biodemography of Exceptional Longevity in the United States.” He was an invited speaker at the Annual meetings of the Chicago Actuarial Association and Living to 100 symposia organized by the Society of Actuaries. Dr. Gavrilov is an Editorial Board Member of the scientific peer-reviewed journals Experimental Gerontology, Gerontology, Rejuvenation Research and others. Dr. Gavrilov is currently working at the Center on Economics and Demography of Aging, NORC at the University of Chicago. Read more at: http://longevity-science.org/CV-gavrilov.htm

Contact Email Address(es):
Natalia S. Gavrilova gavrilova@longevity-science.org
Leonid A. Gavrilov This entry was posted in Uncategorized on by .

Post-retirement Needs and Risks

Carol Bogosian, ASA

Post-Retirement Needs and Risks: What Do We Really Know?
• Background
• Risk Survey and Public Attitude Research
• Managing Risks
• Shocks and Unexpected Expenses
• Income and Spending
• Influence of Parents Retirement
• Other Major Projects
• Consumer and Advisor Education
• Diverse Risks in Retirement Essays
• Conclusions
• Appendices
• Methodology
• Overview of Research

Carol Bogosian, President of CAB Consulting, is an Associate of the Society of Actuaries and has over 30 years of experience as an actuary providing advice on defined benefit and defined contribution pension plans and retirement planning issues. Before starting her own firm, she was a principal in a major consulting firm as a senior actuary and consultant providing retirement services to individuals and corporate clients. She completed the Financial Planning Certificate program, gaining her perspective of the employee’s overall financial needs. Her current interests are in improving financial education and literacy in the U.S.

She has published articles for the Plan Sponsor Council of America and WISER. She has spoken publicly at various professional associations on retirement and financial planning topics. She previously served on the Pension Section Council and currently serves on the Post Retirement Needs and Risk Committee of the Society of Actuaries and the Chicago Bar Associations’ Joint Task Force on Women and Aging. She also serves on the Employee Benefits Advisory Board for The John Marshall Law School.

Impact of PBA on Product Development

Paul Fedchak, FSA, MAAA
Andrew Steenman, FSA, MAAA
The new principle-based reserve framework for life products became effective in the U.S. on January 1.  Much of the discussion on PBR has been from a financial reporting perspective, but product development actuaries will also be on the front lines to answer questions like “Will prices go up or down?” and “Will product designs need to change?”  Our panel will discuss research sponsored by the Society of Actuaries into how companies can overcome the logistical hurdles of the new reserve regime and adjust their pricing methods.  You’ll learn about the critical assumptions and techniques to consider as your company looks at pricing in this new era.

Paul Fedchak is a principal and consultant in the Indianapolis office of Milliman. He joined the firm in 2007.  Paul consults on life insurance and annuity products. He has been involved with universal life, with a focus on secondary guarantees, indexed universal life, and whole life. He has worked with these products in the contexts of product development and implementation, Cash Flow Testing, AG 38, AG 48, AG 49, SOP 03-1, corporate modeling, experience studies and assumption development.  Paul also has robust experience with MG-ALFA modeling software.
Andrew Steenman is an actuary in the Indianapolis office of Milliman.  He joined the firm in 2010.  Andrew consults on life insurance and annuity products. He has been involved with universal life, universal life with secondary guarantees, fixed annuities and indexed annuities. He has worked with these products in the contexts of MG-ALFA modeling, financial reporting including principles based reserving, product development, mergers and acquisitions, and AXXX securitizations.

International Capital Requirements and IFRS

R. Thomas Herget, FSA, MAAA, CERA
Rodrigo Careaga

Tom Herget will talk about current group capital developments in the US.  He will discuss the concept of capital, what capital should cover, the IAIS’ Insurance Capital Standard (the ICS), the US’s Fed’s group capital initiative and the US’s NAIC group capital initiative.

Rodrigo Careaga will cover the following topics:
1. IFRS Update
   a. Expected timeline and next steps
   b. High-level overview of the standard
   c. Latest decisions (nov IASB meeting)
2. Industry Update
   a. Implementation status of key players
   b. Industry activity and key challenges
   c. Lessons learnt

CAA Mar2017 Group Capital Presentation

Tom Herget is a retired actuary who specialized in life insurance company reporting.

Tom is a former Director and Vice President of the SOA’s Board of Directors. He is a past president of the Chicago Actuarial Association, former editor of the SOA’s Financial Reporting Section newsletter, former chair of the SoA’s Financial Reporting Section and former member of the editorial board of the North American Actuarial Journal.

He is a former chair of the American Academy of Actuaries’ Solvency Committee. He currently serves as its representative to the International Actuarial Association’s Insurance Regulation Committee’s Solvency Subcommittee as well as chair of its Group Capital subgroup. Tom is a former Director of the American Academy of Actuaries.

Tom has served the profession in several research and authoring capacities:

Chief editor of U.S. GAAP for Life Insurers (2000 and 2006).

Co-editor of Insurance Industry Mergers & Acquisitions (2005).

Project Oversight Group (POG) chair for the Society of Actuaries’ three (2007,2010 and 2013) studies on profit emergence impact of the Preliminary Views, Exposure Draft and Re-Exposure Draft for insurance contracts published by the IASB .

Other research and articles include:

o Other Comprehensive Income (The Financial Reporter, March 2012)
o Acronyms for Actuaries, an inventory of insurance influencers (The Financial Reporter, March 2012)
o Are Black Swans Real? How to better recognize, assess and respond to emerging extreme events (The Actuary, April/May 2013 as well as SOA research)
o Network Model on Systemic Risk Identification (POG member) (SOA research, October 2012)
o EU/US Life Regulatory Structures (POG chair) (SOA research, July 2013)
o Regulatory Risk (SOA research) (underway)
o Trading Places – life and pension actuaries find common ground to express funding concepts (underway)
o Illustrating Multiple Measurement Bases and their Application (POG member) (underway)

Tom worked from 1982 to 2008 at PolySystems, Inc. where he was Executive Vice President and Principal Owner, responsible for customer support, consulting and implementation projects. Prior to that, Tom worked at The Hartford, Peat Marwick and CNA.

Tom holds a B.A. degree in Actuarial Science (1972) from the University of Illinois.

Rodrigo_careaga

Rodrigo Careaga joined PwC in February 2016 as a Director in the Chicago office. He has over 15 years of consulting experience serving life and annuity insurance companies with focus on financial reporting measurement.

Rodrigo has led numerous projects assisting his clients in understanding the business implications of the new Insurance Contracts proposals from the FASB and IASB. His primary professional experience includes:
• Leading actuarial audits for insurance and reinsurance companies, including Purchase Accounting for business combinations.
• Assisting clients in reviewing and addressing complex IFRS, US GAAP and US Statutory financial reporting issues.
• Assisting clients in developing harmonized US GAAP accounting policies, methodologies and assumptions across the organization.
• Preparing comment letters and performing field testing on the proposed FASB and IASB Insurance Contracts standard.
• Implementing projection models for statutory valuations, and embedded value calculations for subsidiaries of a life insurance company in Mexico and Brazil.
• Assisting in actuarial system conversion and model validation engagements, as well as process and control related validation.
• Assisting in Sarbanes-Oxley 404 compliance engagement, including the risk/control analysis and testing portion.
Rodrigo volunteered for the Society of Actuaries research project on the 2013 International Financial Reporting Standards Exposure Draft and has presented at industry meetings on advanced financial reporting topics.

Cognitive Computing

Luca Piazza is a Data Scientist working with Deloitte to develop its Cognitive practice. He 10+ years of experience working on topics such as IT Optimization, development of industry level predictive cognitive technologies, information extraction and natural language processing (NLP).
His statistical tool box include SAS, R, Python, Scala on Spark, Google Tensorflow.

He received a M.S. degree in Computer Science from Universita’ Degli Studi di Pavia (Italy) and a M.S. degree in Advanced Analytics from the Institute of Advanced Analytics at North Carolina State University.

Prince Nasr Harfouche

Prince is a Senior Manager in Deloitte ’s Actuarial, Risk and Advanced Analytics Practice. Prince has market eminence as a thought leader in Advanced Analytics, Risk Management and Measurement (Market, Credit, Operational and Liquidity Risks) , Portfolio Management Trading Systems, Fraud, Subrogation, Forensic Profiling, Business Intelligence and Process Optimization. He has fourteen years of experience in leading and managing the design, development, and implementation of all aspects of qualitative and quantitative methods, advanced predictive analytics and intelligent interim solutions to support business needs and regulatory requirements across insurance, capital markets, banking and securities. Prior to joining Deloitte, Prince held leadership roles with other consultancies, significant U.S. firms, regulatory agencies and at the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA), where he served as Director in the Risk and Strategy group and was responsible for the design, development and execution of all risk measurement and management strategies intended to drive the focus of the surveillance and examination program for all registered Broker-Dealers.

prince