Predictive Analytics

Charles F. Larimer, FSA, MAAA
Consulting Actuary
C F Larimer Consulting, LLC

Alex Nathan (PhD candidate)

Charles F. Larimer is a Fellow in the Society of Actuaries, and a Member of the American
Academy of Actuaries, and has over 35 years experience in the health care industry. His
clients include employers, hospitals and physician groups. His projects include incurred but
not reported (IBNR) reserves including pmpm trend analysis and analysis of changes in claim
payment patterns, primary care capitation development and analysis, physician fee schedule
analysis and development, analysis of risk and bonus arrangements, analysis of IPA and PHO
claims, benefit variation cost analysis, and GASB 45 post retirement valuations for public
employer groups.
He was previously a partner at Bob Gold & Associates, Inc., which was acquired by Ernst and
Young, LLC. Bob Gold & Associates, Inc. served over one hundred HMOs, PPOs and Insurance
companies, as well as numerous PHOs, physician groups, and hospitals in dealing with
managed care.
Prior to that he was an Officer at Blue Cross Blue Shield of Illinois, and Manager of Pricing at
CNA Insurance Company in Chicago

Alex Nathan is a PhD candidate in the Department of Industrial Engineering and Management Sciences at Northwestern University. His work focuses on applying advanced analytics and machine learning to better understand consumer behavior and devise strategies for more effectively managing customer retention and acquisition. Alex has worked with various companies in the analytics space, including the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and Viacom. He is the cofounder of Alma Analytics, and holds a B.Sc. in Applied Mathematics from Johns Hopkins University. In his free time he enjoys playing tennis, cooking and traveling.

Leave a Reply